Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022576 0.024339 0.026175 0.028232 0.030474 0.032845 0.035544
2025-12-07 0.019509 0.022018 0.024768 0.028015 0.031751 0.035925 0.040957
2025-12-14 0.017447 0.020364 0.023686 0.027763 0.032651 0.038347 0.045522
2025-12-21 0.016083 0.019289 0.023055 0.027826 0.033745 0.040887 0.050223
2025-12-28 0.014895 0.018279 0.022358 0.027670 0.034454 0.042892 0.054283
2026-01-04 0.013964 0.017488 0.021834 0.027633 0.035234 0.044951 0.058458
2026-01-11 0.013230 0.016876 0.021467 0.027731 0.036142 0.047167 0.062917
2026-01-18 0.012564 0.016296 0.021088 0.027760 0.036918 0.049207 0.067216
2026-01-25 0.012032 0.015852 0.020845 0.027932 0.037866 0.051496 0.071962
2026-02-01 0.011387 0.015215 0.020300 0.027642 0.038133 0.052820 0.075372
2026-02-08 0.010746 0.014545 0.019666 0.027182 0.038111 0.053705 0.078154
2026-02-15 0.010259 0.014061 0.019261 0.027011 0.038477 0.055145 0.081822
2026-02-22 0.009752 0.013540 0.018800 0.026768 0.038771 0.056562 0.085666
2026-03-01 0.009307 0.013087 0.018414 0.026616 0.039195 0.058204 0.089988
2026-03-08 0.008874 0.012631 0.017997 0.026387 0.039475 0.059626 0.094033
2026-03-15 0.008558 0.012326 0.017784 0.026449 0.040197 0.061762 0.099371
2026-03-22 0.008209 0.011955 0.017452 0.026302 0.040570 0.063348 0.103874
2026-03-29 0.007915 0.011651 0.017203 0.026267 0.041111 0.065222 0.108979
2026-04-05 0.007672 0.011414 0.017043 0.026360 0.041857 0.067466 0.114868
2026-04-12 0.007429 0.011164 0.016850 0.026386 0.042487 0.069537 0.120576
2026-04-19 0.007233 0.010978 0.016747 0.026549 0.043348 0.072044 0.127243
2026-04-26 0.006951 0.010644 0.016393 0.026275 0.043440 0.073201 0.131457
2026-05-03 0.006651 0.010270 0.015957 0.025841 0.043224 0.073792 0.134616